The Madden Julian Oscillation (MJO) is a periodic weather cycle that tracks east along the equator circumnavigating the globe. The east equatorial Pacific is finally and steadily warming. On Sun AM (4/30) the gale was fading off Oregon with 30 kt northwest winds and seas 21 ft at 42.5N 134.5W aimed east targeting Central CA northward. Anomaly wise, warm anomalies at +2 deg C were in a river traversing the Pacific with a building pocket of 3 degs anomalies in the far West Pacific at depth and +4-5 degs anomalies in the far East Pacific. N wind 10 to 15 ktbacking to NW 5 kt late in the Coastal Waters Forecast. That trough is to push east of the Southern CA swell window while fading on Sun (5/7). Swell Direction: 212 moving to 202 degrees and mostly shadowed by Tahiti, North CA: Swell arriving early Fri (5/5) with period 18 secs early building to 1.9 ft @ 17-18 secs at sunset (3.0-3.5 ft). W wind 5 kt. West wind anomalies in the KWGA suggest the Active Phase of the MJO in the Pacific, and east anomalies suggests the Inactive Phase. Not much of a change compared to the last few days in the forecast, maybe even a notch smaller. Tioga Pass/Pacific Crest Trail intersection forecast: Temps - Freeze Level (more here - scroll down to 'Resort Snow Forecasts>Central CA or North CA Caltrans & Backcountry'). Beyond 72 hours the jet is to hold consolidated still reaching to 135W on Mon (2/28) while slowly weakening with winds down to 150 kts over the area from Japan to a point north of Hawaii but with something that looks like a weak trough developing over the Central Gulf of Alaska and another over the dateline, but weak is the operative word. Subsurface Waters Temps Customize forecasts for any offshore location and save them for future use. Our Weather Data LONG-RANGE PACIFIC STORM AND SWELL GENERATION POTENTIAL FORECAST. Taking the GFS and to some degree the ECMWF into account, I'd call for drizzle Monday morning along the coast; light rain sometime Tuesday morning from LA north (dry in OC and SD); then mostly dry Wednesday day, but with rain Wednesday late afternoon or evening into Thursday for most of SoCal, spreading from north to south. NW ground swell increases Monday with a mix of wind swell, lasting for a couple days. Thank you to everyone who has donated! Something to monitor. A summertime pattern looks to be setting up. Possible small swell from Pt Conception northward. Easing swells this week. On Sat AM (4/29) 45 kt northwest winds were building well off the Pacific Northwest with seas 25 ft at 44N 143W aimed southeast. On Wed AM (3/2) a broader gale is to be developing just west of the dateline with 45-50 kt west winds and seas building from 27 ft at 42N 164.5E aimed east. Hourly Multiple Swells Wind Highlighting Model. View accurate wind, swell and tide forecasts for any GPS point. This setup looks likely for the rest of the forecast, so the workweek isnt looking favorable conditions wise either. All the while, marine layer will be thick from a heavy onshore flow and very moist air. TUE NIGHT What Just Happened?? Teahupoo Bombing afternoon. Saturday the 6th should run chest high at south facing breaks with occasional head high sets at standouts. In the evening 40 kt northwest winds are to be building off the Pacific Northwest with 27 ft seas at 43.5N 137.75.5W aimed east. Until my next report (Tuesday), take care, be safe, and smile in the lineup! Hi-res Overview: (4/29) Warming waters are filling the East Pacific off Chile, Peru and Ecuador with strong warming along the immediate cost of Peru and Ecuador. On Thurs AM (2/24) fetch was fading from 30 kts from the west on the dateline with seas fading from 27 ft at 39N 173E aimed east. Highs around 82 near the shore to 71 to 77 near 3000 feet. Kauai Weather Forecast for April 26, 2023 : Kauai Now La Nina is solid but appears to be fading focused over the equatorial East Pacific. The trend of late has been towards positive readings. On Thursday (2/24) swell from a broad gale that developed in the far West Pacific is pushing east, poised to impact Hawaii (see west Pacific Storm below). Fetch was fading from 35 kts Wed AM (2/23) over a large area filling the West Pacific with seas fading from 31 ft at 35N 169.25E. A south wind is expected in the morning across OC and San Diego, but it could be manageable. National Weather Service Marine Forecast FZUS56 KMFR You are the entire ocean, in a drop. Daytime highs though will struggle to reach 60 by Tuesday and Wednesday; in fact, VC may see mid to upper 50s (max) Tuesday and Wednesday. stay moderate for the next few days. Swell fading Mon (5/8) from 1.2 ft @ 13 secs (1.5 ft). Over the next 72 hours no swell producing fetch of interest is forecast. TODAY Offshore Waters Forecasts description: Live Map: Washington and Oregon waters Updated: Mon, 01-May-2023 03:25:31 UTC California waters Updated: Mon, 01-May-2023 03:25:48 UTC: NAVTEX Coastal & Offshore Waters Forecasts description: Live Map: Astoria, OR: Summary - Cool subsurface water volume peaked under the equatorial Pacific on 10/15/21, beating last years volume, but is quickly fading at the surface in the East Equatorial Pacific. Temps were rising today at +0.318 besting the previous peak at +0.199 on 4/21. Wednesday the 10th into Thursday the 11th could see the next southern hemisphere ground swell from this system that should break off Antarctica in a few days (model by FNMOC): Size so far is coming in at chest+ with swell angled from 195 and periods 16 seconds. Pacific Decadal Oscillation A weak Kelvin Wave is pushing east. And another is to follow directly in it's wake Fri-Sun (5/7) with up 40 ft seas aimed north. Doubtful meaningful weather will result. I dont have the best news for our local conditions, but there should still be some windows to work with. Ocean Prediction Center - Pacific Marine - National Weather Service Swell holding Sat (5/6) at 2.2 ft @ 16 secs (3.5 ft). A mystery in the Pacific is complicating climate projections 5/6/22 5/12/22: Lots of swell on the way this week! No cool waters were on the equator anymore. Summer - Head high or better. The paragraphs below analyze the state of the MJO and ENSO in the Pacific and provide forecasts for upcoming activity (or inactivity depending on the state and interaction of these two oscillations). No cool anomalies were under the Pacific. Still, neither of these forecasts seems realistic (see IRI Consensus forecast below). Surfline on Instagram: "Modern warriors: @felixpatutra01 and @m_pang WED NIGHT Oahu: Expect swell arrival on Fri (2/25) building from 5.6 ft @ 18 secs at sunrise (10 ft) to 7.2-7.9 ft @ 17-18 secs late afternoon (13.0 ft). Specifically, strong El Nino events promote storm production in the Pacific while La Nina events suppress storm production. description. View static weather maps of Pacific-Ocean of wind, precipitation, temperature and cloud. Amazing. There are also options to display live wind observations from ships, wave buoys and weather stations on . Swell fading Sun (2/27) from 5.6 ft @ 14-15 secs early (8.0 ft). Swell fading Tues (5/2) from 7.0 ft @ 10-11 secs (7.0 ft). This system was gone after that. Fetch was fading in the evening from 35+ kts with seas fading from 26 ft at 47S 150W aimed northeast. Local Interest The 7 day forecast calls for east anomalies building to strong status in the core of the KWGA on 2/26 while expanding in coverage to strong or more status holding through the end of the model run on 3/3. Check out our Privacy Policy for more information, 2022 Surfable and SURFERforecast. Swell holding Sun (5/7) at 2.2 ft @ 15 secs (3.0-3.5 ft) early. Amazing. On Sunday (4/30) small swell was hitting North CA associated with a gale previously in the Northern Gulf (see Small North Gulf Gale below) but buried in local chop. Previously temps reached +2.302 degrees on 4/6, +1.732 degs (3/22), up from +0.462 since 2/28. This model suggests we are at or almost past the peak of La Nina temperatures this Winter. Marine High Seas Weather Bulletin - MetService New Zealand The WNW groundswell will ease as well, while more but shorter period energy shows for the workweek. A gale developed in the Southwestern Pacific with swell from it fading in California (see Southwestern Pacific Gale below). At Santa Cruz surf was chest high and lined up and clean with decent form but pretty soft. The 90 day average peaked at +15.75 (2/23/21 - clearly indicative of La Nina then). The Pacific-Ocean Weather Map below shows the weather forecast for the next 12 days. All told, west facing breaks are looking at chest to at times head high sets Monday the 1st, and then more consistently head high Tuesday the 2nd. Satellite Imagery the afternoon. W wind 5 kt. Steve Shearer (freeride76) Monday, 01 May 2023. FZUS56 KMFR 282105CWFMFR. The 90 day average was falling at +7.44 today after previously peaking at +10.90 on 12/26, falling to +7.10 on 11/1. TODAY 40. If these combine with south swells then Malibu and Trestles will fire whereas places such as Rincon require a more northerly swell. Wind Rain. Swell is pushing towards California. Swell NW 6 ft. See chart here - link. That Wed-PM/Thu-AM rainband looks the heaviest with rain lasting a good part of the day Thursday, clearing Friday. Summer is slightly less consistent but still excellent by most standards. Friday the 5th is expected to run chest high at most breaks from a mix of NW and SW ground swells. By browsing Magicseaweed, you agree to our use of cookies. In the evening south winds to be lifting northeast at 35-40 kts with seas 27 ft at 50S 145W aimed northeast. If this materializes, a long-period northwest swell arriving locally next Monday would result. This means no cool water was at depth. Small North Gulf Gale WED NIGHT 5 ft. Gales associated with this system are shown. National Weather Service Marine Forecast FZUS56 KPQR Current marine weather and wave analysis plus forecast conditions for the next 72 hours. Crime against visiting surfers is common and becoming increasingly so, especially in the north. Wind waves 2 ft or less. Tonight: Partly cloudy with scattered showers. Wind waves N 3 ft at 5 seconds. Current Conditions During the Inactive Phase the jet stream tends to split resulting in high pressure and less potential for swell producing storm development. 13 secondssubsiding to 9 to 11 ft at 12 seconds. In VC, Channel Islands Harbor has been running 58-59. Today (Sunday the 30th) we have a light to moderate mix of NW and SW ground swells in SoCal. On Mon AM (2/21) the gale started plodding east producing westerly winds at 45 kts over a broad area with a core at 50-55 kts and seas building to 34 ft at 39.75N 152E aimed east. The south swell is expected to be pretty much down to leftovers and some small NW windswell should be mixing in. 4 to 6 ft after midnight. Swell Direction:292-295 degrees. On Wed AM (4/19) southwest winds were 45-50 kts starting to track northeast with seas 39 ft at 59.5S 153.75W aimed northeast. It is characterized in it's Inactive Phase by enhanced trade winds and dry weather over the part of the equator it is in control of, and in it's Active Phase by slackening if not an outright reversing trade winds while enhancing precipitation. National Weather Service Medford, OR In the evening fetch is to fading from 35 kts from the south with seas 32 ft at 45.5S 126.75W aimed northeast. Coastal waters from Cape Blanco OR to Pt. Sea Level Anomalies: (4/23) Sea heights were positive across the equatorial Pacific connected to the East Pacific at +5-10 cms over the entirety of it's width with a pocket of +10 cms in the west and a pocket of +10-20 cms in the east extending north of Panama and south to Chile. Hawaii's North Shore had sets at waist to maybe chest high and lined up and clean when the sets came with decent form but a little soft. KWGA/Equatorial Surface Wind Analysis (KWGA - Kelvin Wave Generation Area - The area 5 degrees north and south of the equator from 170W to 135E) Which could be a fun morning may turn out a bit choppy. INSEE /Postal code. THU Swell NW Most south facing spots were running waist to chest high. Sceaux-du-Gtinais, France 2023: Best Places to Visit - Tripadvisor Total snow accumulation for the next 10 days respectively for Squaw Valley, Sugar Bowl, Kirkwood and Mammoth at 0, 0, 0, and 0 inches. CFSv2 Data Slight chance of showers. There no sign of La Nina on the oceans surface and everything is now looking like El Nino. The jet was split east of 155W with the northern branch weak and pushing towards British Columbia but not reaching there yet. Wind waves 1 to 2 ft. W swell 7 ft at 11 seconds. There are signs of warming along the coasts of Chile. This Loiret geographical article is a stub. But in late Fall 2022 trades started fading a by early 22023 multiple Kelvin Waves were in flight with significant warming developing over the East Equatorial Pacific. Looking at the long term record, it seems likely we are still in the Cool Phase of the PDO (La Nina 'like') with no signs of moving to the positive/warm phase (El Nino 'like'). Snow Models: http://www.stormsurf.com/mdls/menu_snow.html (Scroll down for Resort specific forecasts). Sailing Weather - Marine Weather Forecasts for Sailors and Adventurers Overview Per the Upper Ocean Heat Anomaly Histogram warm water continues building in intensity and coverage in the West to 100W at +1.75 degs connected to a second pocket starting at 94W at at +1.0-1.5 degs reaching east to Ecuador. Anomaly wise, warm anomalies +2 deg C were steady filling the entire subsurface equatorial Pacific. Friday the 5th into Saturday the 6th remains on track to see decent sized southern hemi ground swell from this system that has stayed the course for more than a week on the models, peaking off Antarctica yesterday as it traveled north on an ideal course for SoCal surf (model generated by XyGrib from NFCENS data): Size is coming in at chest high for most south facing breaks and head high at times at standouts by Saturday the 6th (chest max Friday the 5th with rare pluses), angled from 210 with periods 16-18 seconds. Regardless of what the atmospheric models and surface winds suggest, actual water temperatures are a ground-truth indicator of what is occurring in the ocean. Fetch was fading in the evening from 40 kts over a large area aimed east with seas fading from 36 ft at 39N 167.25E aimed east. 10 to 12 ft at 13 secondssubsiding to 9 ft at 12 seconds in Oahu: Expect swell arrival on Wed (5/3) early with period 18 secs building to 2.5 ft @ 16-17 secs later in the day (4.0 ft). In the evening 40 kt northwest winds were off the Pacific Northwest with 27 ft seas at 42.5N 138.5W aimed east. Swell building Tues (5/2) into the mid-afternoon at 3.8 ft @ 14-15 secs (5.5 ft). I would still recommend giving it a look this morning with all the swell in the water. The afternoon doesnt look any better, as the winds should shift west and pick up further. Swell should drop to chest max with fewer pluses Sunday the 7th and then fade Monday the 8th (waist to chest). the week. But by March 2022, the number of storm days, intensity and duration of those storms should start improving as La Nina fades out. Ocean Prediction Center - Atlantic Marine Mexico, Pacific Surf Reports and Surf Forecasts - Magicseaweed.com 100% advert-free browsing experience on any device, Unlimited advert-free HD webcam streaming, Long-range forecast experience without interuptions. of showers through the day. A bit of a recovery tried to occur during Fall of 2019, with weak warm water building in the Nino 1.2 region, but cool water held in a pool off Peru. All Rights Reserved. The classic La Nina pattern is in quick retreat. Chance of showers. PACIFIC OVERVIEW And warmer than normal temps were present well off the coasts of Chile and Peru and building in intensity and weaker over the entirety of the deep South Pacific. Updated! On Mon AM (2/28) winds to build to 40 kts with seas 29 ft at 42N 154.75W aimed east. Significant: Winter - Swell 8 ft @ 14 secs or greater (11+ ft faces) for 8+ hours (greater than double overhead). Overview: In 2019 warm equatorial waters were fading, and by August a tongue of cool water was tracking west on the equator from Ecuador over the Galapagos reaching to a point nearly south of Hawaii. Overall this indicates the demise of La Nina. But La Nina made a strong return by the end of Sept much like what the CFS model suggested would happen and a full double dip pattern took hold through the Winter of 21/22. Widespread 218 AM PDT Mon May 1 2023. Buoyweather Marine Weather & Wind Forecasts Steve Shearer (freeride76) Wednesday, 26 April 2023. No swell producing fetch has occurred of is forecast. Summer - up to waist high swell. Cold water in that area has a dampening effect. A chance of rain in the morning then rain likely in the afternoon. View accurate wind, swell and tide forecasts for any GPS point. The 6 departments of the region of Centre are: Cher (18), Eure-et-Loir (28), Indre (36), Indre-et-Loire (37), Loir-et-Cher (41), Loiret (45) Inhabitants of Centre were 2 440 329 in 1999 and 2 519 567 in 2006. Looking at the long term record, it seems likely we are still in the Cool Phase of the PDO (La Nina 'like') with no signs of moving to the positive/warm phase (El Nino 'like'). Tioga Pass/Pacific Crest Trail intersection forecast: Temps - Freeze Level Warming was occurring off of Peru out to 130W. W swell 10 to 12 ft at The two have conspired to produce a thick morning marine layer with burn-off not likely at the coast today, with max beach temps struggling to reach the low 60s. Central Orange County had sets at thigh to maybe waist high and clean and lined up when they came but generally weak with light offshore wind. Southern Oscillation Index (SOI) (negative is good, positive bad - this is a lagging indicator): 16. Specifically, strong El Nino events promote storm production in the Pacific while La Nina events suppress storm production. 2. The High Seas Forecast for the South Pacific - National Weather Service Swell Direction: 315 degrees. Pacific-Ocean wave (swell) map for surfers, windsurfers and sailors showing open ocean wave size, wave period and wave energy. But there is no indication that El Nino will develop and if anything we'll fall into a weak steady state La Nina beyond. Run in that direction. Chance of Within 120 nautical miles of F1: Poor visibility in showers. KWGA/Equatorial Surface Wind Analysis (KWGA - Kelvin Wave Generation Area - The area 5 degrees north and south of the equator from 170W to 135E) There could be a few peaks to track down, but again the winds dont look great. South Pacific Animations: Jetstream - Surface Pressure/Wind - Sea Height - Surf Height, LONG-TERM FORECAST Specifically, strong El Nino events promote storm production in the Pacific while La Nina events suppress storm production. 8. Nino 3.4 Daily CDAS Index Temps: (2/24) Today's temps were steady at -0.710 after rising slightly to -0.505 on 2/2 and that after reaching a peak low of -1.096 on 1/3 beating the previous low of -1.080 on 11/2, the lowest in a year. Wind waves 1 to 3 ft. W swell 4 ft at 8 seconds building to SW 6 ft at 12 seconds after midnight. Southwest Pacific Gale Another gale is forecast developing in the Southeast Pacific Tues-Thurs (5/4) with up to 30 ft seas aimed north. On Thurs AM (4/20) south winds were fading from 30+ kts moving to the Southeast Pacific with seas fading from 29 ft at 52.75S 139.5W aimed northeast. A small started developing over the Northwestern Gulf on Wed AM (4/26) producing 35-40 kt west winds with seas building to 24 ft at 48N 166.75W aimed east. Tonight: Partly cloudy with isolated. Surf Height-Swell Height Correlation Table. SW wind 5 ktbacking to S after midnight. Swell holding Sun (5/7) at 2.1 ft @ 15 secs (3.0 ft). Gulf Gale Temps have been steadily increasing hitting 0.0 on 4/12 and were then more or less steady the previous 4 weeks. Here's how the day-to-day is breaking down so far: Monday the 1st is expected to run chest to at times head high at west facing breaks from ground swell and wind swell. Swell and SW 1 ft in the afternoon. //-->, Issued More swell is looking likely out the back too, just nothing as big as what we are going to see this weekend. The longterm trend has been steadily downward. 218 AM PDT Mon May 1 2023. The 30 day average was falling some at +9.31 after falling to +0.83 on 1/27 then peaking at +13.07 on 12/31 (the highest in a year) after previously falling to +6.06 on 11/6 after peaking at +11.58 on 10/22. But cold water returned in July 2021 and a second pulse of La Nina developed and is continuing today, though possibly weaker with its foundation appearing to be in decline. Wind waves 3 ft building to Weather Outlook: As you start to walk on the way, the way appears. The 30 day average was rising at -1.20 after falling to -4.13 on 4/4 (lagging indicator driven by the Active Phase of the MJO) after falling to -0.52 on 3/22 previously falling to +4.18 on 11/27 and peaking at +21.57 (10/16) after supposedly peaking at +19.66 on 9/28. Portsmouth, VA: Sandy Hook, NJ to Murrells Inlet, SC. Just a minor mix of south swell and NW windswell expected. Surface Water Temps Temps had reached as high as +1.076 on 2/19 and were previously steady at +0.848 since 2/7. The paragraphs below analyze the state of the MJO and ENSO in the Pacific and provide forecasts for upcoming activity (or inactivity depending on the state and interaction of these two oscillations). As southern hemisphere ground swell lingers from the most recent Antarctic swell, NW ground swell is already starting to fill in from that system that, although initially sitting just 1,100 nautical miles from SoCal, will dive south into SoCal as a cut-off low shortly (model generated by XyGrib from NFCENS data): That low is now diving south and starting to cut off from the jetstream, visible from space this morning on NOAA satellite (image from NOAA GOES): Circled in red we can see that cut-off low, starved of moisture, but with enough being drawn into it to bring rain to SoCal this week. WED TUE Dribbles Thurs AM (5/4) fading from 3.2 ft @ 11 secs (3.0-3.5 ft). On Thursday (2/24) North and Central CA had set waves at chest high on the sets and fairly clean and lined up but still with some warble in the water. Famously surfed by Duke Kahanamoku in 1915 these sunshine beaches hold numerous classic set-ups. Tuesday the 2nd is expected to run chest to head high at west facing breaks and waist to chest at south facing spots. Impulse/Windswell: Winter - Swell and period combination generating faces up to head high (1-4 ft) or anything with a period less than 11 secs. Protected breaks were waist high and soft and mushed but fairly ragged and warbled. Fetch was fading in the evening from 35-40 kts from the south with seas 34 ft at 55S 145.5W aimed northeast. It fell to -19.40 on 4/2. During the winter months, north-west swells propagate down from the Pacific with south-west swells dominating for the rest of the year. Local Interest webmaster.ndbc@noaa.gov, Disclaimer Churches & Cathedrals. Total snow accumulation for the next 10 days respectively for Squaw Valley, Sugar Bowl, Kirkwood and Mammoth are projected at 33, 33, 27, and 10 inches with a little on 5/2 and a little more on 5/4 and again on 5/6 and 5/9. Global-Pacific Surf Map - Wind and Wave forecasts 12 ft at 12 seconds. But the atmosphere will take much time to respond. Brookings southward, NW wind 10 to 15 kteasing to 5 to 10 kt Hi-res Nino1.2 & 3.4 Qualitative Analysis: (2/23) The latest images depict a broad generic stream of cool water on the equator extending west from just off Ecuador over the Galapagos out to 140W then weaker west of there before dissipating on the dateline. 30- to 40-knot winds . DeepSwell - Free Surf Reports & Long-range Surf Forecasts Southeast Pacific Gale -17.44 on 2/22, the beginning of a change from which no return seemed likely. The main story for most of the region will be the medium to locally good-sized run of Southern Hemisphere swell topping out this weekend. SoCal Forecast National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration West facing breaks were mostly waist high. Winds You can customize the wave and wind maps with overlays for wind arrows, pressure and general weather for surfing. Pacific Decadal Oscillation Tropical Update Swell fading Sun (5/7) from 1.5 ft @ 13-14 secs (2.0 ft). And another pocket of warming waters were in the far West Pacific at 125E at +5 degs. Something to monitor. Still some fun sized surf out there as that south swell eases and hangs in there, and more short-period NW swell shows. Updated most Sundays, Tuesdays, and Thursdays, Sunday Apr. Symbols shown on the map: Global-Pacific Surf Breaks, Tide Forecasts, Cities, Global-Pacific Ski Resorts, Live Wave Buoys, Live Webcams, Global-Pacific Wind Now, Temperature Now, Weather Now, Global-Pacific Swell at breaks, Rating at breaks. 1 French Land Register data, which excludes lakes, ponds, glaciers > 1 km 2 (0.386 sq mi or 247 acres) and river estuaries. Almost every morning looks to be the cleanest window of the day, so keep that in mind if youre trying to plan a surf. 3 month forecast for 850 mb winds, MJO, Rossby etc, https://www.nbcnews.com/mach/science/climate-change-good-surfing-other-sports-not-so-much-ncna1017131, https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=luQSYf5sKjQ, http://www.bloomberg.com/video/how-to-predict-the-best-surfing-waves-EsNiR~0xR5yXGOlOq2MqfA.html, http://www.cbsnews.com/videos/surfs-up-for-mavericks-invitational-in-calif/. Sea Level Anomalies: (2/17) Sea heights were neutral over the Equatorial Pacific except one small area of -5 cms anomalies between 95W to 85W and losing coverage quickly. A gale started developing in the Southwest Pacific on Tues AM (4/18) with 45-50 kt southwest winds and seas building. 13 Feb 2023 - Rent from people in Sceaux-du-Gtinais, France from 17/night. http://www.bloomberg.com/video/how-to-predict-the-best-surfing-waves-EsNiR~0xR5yXGOlOq2MqfA.html Chance of showers. Pacific-Ocean Surf Map - Wind and Wave forecasts Waters from Cape Blanco OR to Pt. Something to monitor. Swell fading some on Mon (5/8) from 1.9 ft @ 14 secs (2.5-3.0 ft). South Orange County's best summertime breaks were chest high on the sets and lined up and real clean with good form. 16-day surf forecast for Pacific Beach (PB) in South San Diego. A series of southern hemi ground swells are being tracked from the 10th through the 17th. Wind waves 3 to 4 ft. That jet-bend on this model for the 8th-9th of this month, falls in an 8- to 9-day swell window for SoCal; hence, swell ETA by the 17th. In May-July 2021 it was the most negative its been in the -1.80 to -2.04 range since Sept 2012 (-2.99) and then fell to -3.16 in Oct 2021 (the lowest since July 1933) then settled at -2.72 in Nov and Dec 2021. Just a minor mix of south swell and NW windswell expected. sgi_tile=1; Sunday, April 30, 2023 Maybe some small sideband swell to result for North CA. And the El Nino/La Nino cycle (collectively know as ENSO - El Nino Southern Oscillation) is a less frequent (about once every 7 years) but more impactful cycle that affects world wide weather. Glossary, Privacy Policy Another gale is forecast developing in the deep South Central Pacific on Mon PM (5/1) producing 30 kt southwest winds and seas building. Something to monitor for Hawaii. Within 360 nautical miles east of F1 from 50S 160E to 55S 162E: Areas of fog, heavy northwest swell. Overview Temps previously rose to -0.402 on 2/23. Swell on the Way | Southern California Weekly Forecast It's ion left hand column on every page on the site near the link to the swell calculator. SW wind 10 kt. NDBC : See Hi-Res Buoy Dashboards (bottom of the page). The PDF Corrected forecast suggests temps are forecast rising to +1.20 degs in July and +1.85 degs in Nov. 8 ft at 10 seconds. The area of the region Centre is 39 150,94 km .