1). However, recent studies based on satellite views of utility-scale solar energy (USSE) under operation, either in the form of photovoltaics (PV) or concentrated solar power (CSP), show that their land use efficiency (LUE) is up to six times lower than initial estimates17,18,19. prepared the scenario set-up. 187202 (Springer Netherlands, 2003). On the role of solar photovoltaics in global energy transition scenarios. 1 crore 25 lakh. When weighted by generation rather than capacity, the larger PV plants (3.4 acres per gigawatt-hour per year) and CSP plants (3.5 acres/GWh/year) do a bit better than smaller PV plants (4.1 acres/GWh/year). The National Renewable Energy Laboratory is a national laboratory of the U.S. Department of Energy, Office of Energy Efficiency and Renewable Energy, operated by the Alliance for Sustainable Energy LLC. The bigger the solar farm, the greater the power output. Due to the potential relevance and relatively low power density of solar energy in a decarbonized future, and given that PV in urban areas will only be able to cover a share of the total demand1,21, this paper aims to quantify the potential land occupation of solar energy installed up to 2050, and the related direct and indirect impacts on carbon cycles, within a context of global climate action as proposed in the Paris Agreement. Renew. A Necessary Investment for Decarbonization, A 1,000-megawatt nuclear facility needs just over one square mile, Intermittent wind and solar need much more area to generate the same power, No U.S. wind or solar facility generates as much as the average nuclear plant. Open Access This article is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License, which permits use, sharing, adaptation, distribution and reproduction in any medium or format, as long as you give appropriate credit to the original author(s) and the source, provide a link to the Creative Commons licence, and indicate if changes were made. 77, 760782 (2017). That's equivalent to 5 750 square miles, or around 0.1 percent of all the land the US has to offer. According to the MIT authors, powering 100 percent of estimated U.S. electricity demand in 2050 with solar energy would require roughly 33,000 square kilometers (sq-km) of land. Existing vegetation that supports habitat is removed and any other vegetation is often discouraged; weeds and other unwanted vegetation are generally managed with herbicides and by covering the ground with gravel; this is a common practice in various countries41,66. This estimation assumes full sun directly hitting all the panels for 4 hrs./day. The NREL notes that some solar categories have small sample sizes and that high-quality data isnt necessarily available for every solar project and so this should be taken into account when reading their report. The countrys largest wind farm, Alta Wind Energy Center in California, has an installed capacity of 1,548 MW. Hernandez, R. R., Hoffacker, M. K. & Field, C. B. forest or pasture). volume11, Articlenumber:2907 (2021) provided geographically explicit inputs to the analysis and all map-based figures. For comparison, the District of Columbia's total land area is 68 square miles. We may earn an affiliate commission at no extra cost to you if you buy through a link on this page. , in utility-scale terms, is still relatively young in the grand scheme of things and so future reports will have, The image below, also courtesy of the NREL report, shows both direct and. The latter refers to emissions produced by using cropland for energy purposes and, therefore, indirectly increasing land competition elsewhere in the world to meet global food demand, potentially replacing land with high carbon stocks, such as natural forests7,8,9,10. The packing factor again depends on the average latitude of each AEZ and is defined by Eq. Search out legal advice before going all in. For India, the pre-identified potential for PV and CSP capacity in identified wasteland27 is included to the model as an alternative to competitive land, under assumptions as specified in Section1d of the SM. Environ. Res. Denholm, P. & Margolis, R. Supply curves for rooftop solar pv-generated electricity for the United States. 70, 161184 (2017). PLoS ONE 13, e0203256 (2018). IAMs which link energy, economy, land and climate modules tend to rely strongly on the cultivation of dedicated bioenergy crops (such as switchgrass and miscanthus) in global climate change mitigation scenarios43. Your personal data will only be used for as long as you are subscribed. One hundred sixty or more acres would satisfy the solar farm land requirements for a larger (20 MWac minimum) utility-scale solar power station. Planning guidance for the development of large scale ground mounted solar PV systems (2013). Energy 71, 255262 (2014). Solar energy infrastructure currently occupies a negligible amount of land globally. Ludin, N. A. et al. ADS The induced global land cover changes and related LUC emissions are then compared with scenarios where the same emission reduction targets in the electricity sector are achieved without solar and bioenergy, to isolate the additional land requirements, land cover impacts and related LUC emissions provoked by solar and bioenergy. The relative projected land area dedicated to either crops or solar energy strongly differs within each region, with potential localecosystem and landscape implications (see Figure S16 in the SM). This means less than 5 of slope, but more may be acceptable if its facing south. In these cases, the electricity generated by sun energy hitting the PV panels travels on the electric grid for widespread use by consumers or corporate entities located far from your farm. By comparison, a residential rooftop or ground-mounted solar system costs between $2.50 and $3.50 per watt. The proposed solar PV power plant is capable of producing 180GWh per year of electricity and reducing 90,225 tons/year of CO 2 emissions. 6 Best Solar Fence Chargers in 2023: Who Makes the Best Product? At higher solar penetration rates however, increasing land pressure causes more natural forests to be used for timber or crop production, leading to higher land use change emissions outside the region. The NREL report suggests the acreage required for industrial-scale solar power plants is within the range of previous estimates, and generally doesn't seem off-the-charts outrageous. Trade-offs of different land and bioenergy policies on the path to achieving climate targets. Renew. (We determine the size by dividing 30 kWh by 4 hrs.) & Frechoso, F. Global solar electric potential: a review of their technical and sustainable limits. The results in this study also indicate that minimum efficiency standards for solar modules help to reduce solar land requirements and limit land competition, although there might be a trade-off with non-land life cycle impacts, which tend to be higher for high-efficiency solar modules. Modules will be placed higher to allow small grazers to pass below67, and allowing some sunlight to reach vegetation below panels. This isn't the first time NREL has looked at solar land use, though it is the first time they used a whole lot of actual power plants to figure out the numbers. This 100MW solar power plant was completed in record 80% of stipulated timelines, and nearly 3 months ahead of the stringent schedule. All authors reviewed the manuscript. The same amount of solarland in India would clear 27 to 30 hectares of unmanaged forest, and for Japan and South-Korea, the ratio is 49 to 54 hectares. Conserv. Such a facility would require between 260 square miles and 360 square miles of land. De Marco, A. et al. Hahn, E. The Japanese Solar PV Market and Industry. How much money you get for leasing your land for a solar farm depends on several factors. Of course, given the rapid development of renewable energy and solar energy technologies in particular, this NREL report can only account for past performance and doesnt necessarily reflect the future trends of land-use requirements for solar power plants. Clim. We use ArcGIS to draw polygons around satellite imagery of each plant within our sample, and to calculate the area occupied by each polygon. This size solar farm can power a large energy user or provide power back to the local utility company. PubMed The NREL found generation-weighted averages for total area requirements ranging greatly. So, youll need 100 x 7.5 = 750 sq. Renew. A. et al. However, in semi-arid pastures with wet winters, opposite effects are observed, and microclimates below panels seem to enhance vegetation growth64. ADS Energy Policy 36, 35313543 (2008). Industrial and terrestrial carbon leakage under climate policy fragmentation. 2,146 megawatt hours 1 megawatt (MW) of solar panels will generate 2,146 megawatt hours (MWh) of solar energy per year. If you are seeking utility-scale technology cost and performance estimates, please http://jgcri.github.io/gcam-doc/v4.3/toc.html (2016). Therefore, where available, deserts and dry scrubland with high solar irradiance and which are generally not suitable for human activities, are used or planned to be used for solar energy26,27,28. This structure is based on observed tendencies for solar siting in Europe, India, Japan and South-Korea (see Table S2 in SM), showing that mainly arable land is used for current USSE projects, and supported by academic literature17,33,34,57,58 and solar industry reports59,60. The information was compiled by performing a literature search, using an NREL We concentrate on three regions with heterogeneous features where futures with a high solar energy penetration have been identified in the literature as likely to induce land competition: the European Union (EU), India and jointly Japan and South-Korea. The amount of land required for a 100 MW solar plant can range from under 100 acres for a single-axis tracking system to over 400 acres for an L-shaped solar field. (4) for the focus regions of this study. Send us an email, or call at 212.389.9215 to get started. The land occupation of solar and bioenergy (Figs. Energy Rev. They also want to purchase renewable energy instead of electricity generated from fossil fuels. Finally, a public utility may announce an upgrade to or new construction of its infrastructure in a certain area. Therefore, we have chosen a conservative assumption that solar energy must be produced and consumed in the same geopolitical GCAM region. Environ. This occupation is unequally spread within each of the regions, as areas that are relatively attractive for solar energy are prioritized in each region, such as southern Europe, north western India, and southern Japan and South-Korea (see Fig. The Global Change Assessment Model (GCAM), version 4.3, has been used as a base for this study51. 40% of power plants: Within 6 and 8 acres/MWac. Solar energy in urban areas, deserts and dry scrublands, as well as bioenergy from waste or agricultural and forestry residue, are assumed not to contribute to LUC emissions nor carbon sequestration. Natl. However, if solarland is seeded with herbs and managed as pastures, total LUC emissions per kWh of electricity in the studied period are 3 to 5 times lower, and could even be negative (i.e., becoming net sources of carbon sequestration) in India, Japan and South-Korea, if long-term effects (post 2050) are taken into account. The NREL also notes that any future reports on this subject could draw from larger sample sizes and additional data sources, making for a more thorough investigation. A large plot of land (hundreds of acres) is often more valuable on a per acre basis than a smaller one if a solar developer is looking to build a huge solar power station. One of these was the division of land zones in the model (corresponding to Agro-Ecological zones, see Methods section), which determine the boundaries of the geographical competition to host solar energy within each region. The land occupation ratio, defined by Eq. To build the amount of wind and solar needed to support the grid, the U.S. energy footprint would quadruple in size, and wind farms would occupy areas equivalent to Arkansas, Iowa, Kansas, Missouri, Nebraska and . Energy Rev. For example, higher placed modules are beneficial for vegetation growth below the modules, as it allows more sunlight to reach the vegetation. Impacts of photovoltaic farms on the environment in the Romanian Plain. You are using a browser version with limited support for CSS. Note that land cover changes do not correspond with land use changes: this figure compares total land cover in different scenarios of land-based solar energy penetration, but does not show which specific types of land convert to solarland (or any other type of land). and M.G.E. With solar energy accounting for 25 to 80% of the electricity mix, land occupation by USSE is projected to be significant, ranging from 0.5 to 2.8% of total territory in the EU, 0.3 to 1.4% in India, and 1.2 to 5.2% in Japan and South-Korea. Sustain. In India, where current and projected crop productivities are below the global average, the impact of solar expansion on global land competition is less significant. Deng, Y. Y. et al. Note that these land cover changes are based on simulated land use decisions driven by economic optimisation. Nat. Energy Policy 138, 111234 (2020). Default system size values from NREL tools such as Renewable Energy Optimization (REopt) How do the latest numbers stack up with that? To define the value of land for hosting solar energy, a yield in terms of energy output per unit of land has been defined for every AEZ. The results highlight the exemplary performance reliability of nuclear energy facilities as well as the very high energy density of nuclear fuel. That brings the total for a 5 MW solar farm to 11.5 + 10 acres = 21.5 acres. PubMed Central (6): the further from the equator, the more space is needed between the different panels or heliostats to avoid self-shading, so the lower the packing factor. Therefore, apart from the 10% of scrublands which enter by default into the land competition module, we assumed no additional availability of suitable deserts and scrublands for solar energy in these regions. Note that these results do only focus at solar and bioenergy based in land with potential commercial use. Article Solar park microclimate and vegetation management effects on grassland carbon cycling. See Section2d of the SM for more details. For instance, a 5 MW (megawatt, where 1 MW = 1,000 kW) solar farm would require a minimum of 100 x 5,000 = 500,000 sq. Science (80-. ) Correspondence to Energy Rev. Clim. 324, 11831186 (2009). The key variable in that 4-7 acre range is how sunny it is in your area. Finally, we have not taken into account the potential to integrate solar systems in agricultural land (agrivoltaic systems), a technique that is currently in an early stage of research and development and of which the large-scale performance is still uncertain49.
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